Articles to 2020-09-15

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First the link to this week's complete list as HTML and as PDF.

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In their last paragraph Betsch et al. have good advice for governments seeking compliance with regulation: Tell people the facts, the truth, and the whole truth. Why am I so convinced this is the one suggestion politicians (and most journalists) will never take up?

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Zeichhardt & Kammel is the first study I have ever seen or seen referred to about the real false positive rate of Covid PCR tests. At around 1 % or a little less it's equal to the rate of found positives in many test setups. Are tests still never verified independently? If so why not?

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Negash et al. strongly remind me of the old adage “if you can't see it, it ain't there”. Looking at all their diagrams, I can discern not one of their supposed transitions, in several instances not even much of a long-term trend.

Conversely in Wynn et al. (mostly the same group) those breaks are clearly present. But here we are comparing different species with different lifestyles centred on different habitats, so it's quite questionable what exactly it is, we're seeing there.

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I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Meller's reading of the Nebra disk is a total over interpretation. I have stood inside henges. Their doorways are quite wide and it is totally unclear, where exactly you are supposed to stand. So the frequent claim that they point in one very exact and precise direction is a nonsense in my view. David and Pásztor & Roslund certainly offer a far more prosaic view of the disk's meaning and symbolism.

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Baron et al. is the wrong region for the main questions on the Bronze Age collapse, but if the most favoured explanations with a breakdown of trade networks are correct, we ought to see the same phenomenon of pure copper “Bronzes” in the Middle East too. If not, the explanation is probably wrong after all.

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