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There may well be a climatic rise in the frequency and severity of El Niño events and some of that may be manmade. But as Berenguer et al. demonstrate the dought impacts for Amazonian forests depend much less on the weather itself than on preceding anthropogenic degradation.
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Of course you can easily tweak models with enough parameter until they conform to all available data as Voosen reports. The question remains, what about those areas where few or no data exist. Is it really warranted to treat models as data and rely on their extrapolations as valid predictions?
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